Gragnano vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gragnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PIC
0 - 0
GRA
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 0
SOR
40%
25%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
3 - 2
AEE
57%
21%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FCF
0 - 0
GRA
74%
16%
11%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
GRA
0 - 0
GEL
37%
26%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
TAR
2 - 0
SAR
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
TAR
3 - 0
SOR
69%
18%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
POM
0 - 1
TAR
11%
19%
70%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
TAR
0 - 0
PIC
49%
26%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
AEE
0 - 2
TAR
19%
20%
62%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |