Grafičar vs Sremska Mitrovica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
10º
3º
42
4º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
77.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
56.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grafičar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
VRS
0 - 2
GRA
12%
22%
66%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MET
1 - 3
GRA
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 1
INI
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
RNB
2 - 1
GRA
10%
22%
68%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
2 - 4
SLO
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sremska Mitrovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
1 - 0
JED
52%
27%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
FKZ
1 - 1
RSM
46%
27%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TKS
0 - 0
RSM
41%
28%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
RSM
1 - 0
NOV
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
RSM
1 - 1
PAR
7%
17%
76%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | +1 |