De Graafschap vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
ALK
7 - 3
GRA
13%
20%
67%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
GRA
4 - 0
RJC
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
EBT
0 - 1
GRA
33%
23%
44%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2020 |
GRA
4 - 2
BOS
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 0
HER
41%
24%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
NEC
0 - 1
ALM
51%
23%
26%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
VOL
1 - 3
NEC
39%
25%
37%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
NEC
2 - 1
JON
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
GRO
3 - 3
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
BVO
2 - 0
NEC
58%
22%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |