De Graafschap vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 5
VOL
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
FCO
0 - 2
GRA
11%
19%
71%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
TWE
1 - 3
GRA
39%
24%
36%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
GRA
2 - 1
PSV
71%
17%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
HEL
1 - 2
GRA
7%
16%
77%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
MVV
1 - 4
NAC
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 1
NEC
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
GAE
6 - 0
NAC
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
ALM
2 - 0
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 4
BVO
33%
25%
41%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |