De Graafschap vs Jong Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 1
NAC
31%
24%
46%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
FCD
0 - 3
GRA
30%
25%
45%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 1
TEL
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
FCE
2 - 0
GRA
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
GRA
3 - 0
BVO
29%
25%
47%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
FCO
0 - 3
JON
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
JON
1 - 1
EIN
55%
23%
23%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
ACH
2 - 3
JON
12%
19%
69%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
JON
1 - 1
MVV
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
5 - 2
JON
15%
21%
64%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | -1 |