De Graafschap vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
76.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
VIT
6 - 1
GRA
71%
18%
12%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 0
FCE
51%
24%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
VVV
4 - 1
GRA
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PSV
2 - 1
GRA
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 1
AZA
12%
19%
70%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 1
UTR
77%
14%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
AJA
2 - 3
TOT
53%
22%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
WIL
0 - 4
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
TOT
0 - 1
AJA
39%
24%
36%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
AJA
4 - 2
VIT
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |