noscript image

Serie D. Group A, Matchday 15

Gozzano vs Caronnese analysis

Gozzano Caronnese
25 ELO 29
20% Tilt 50%
3379º General ELO ranking 2588º
256º Country ELO ranking 116º
ELO win probability
41.4%
Gozzano
23.2%
Draw
35.5%
Caronnese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
Gozzano
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
35.5%
Win probability
Caronnese
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gozzano
+46%
+54%
Caronnese

Points and table prediction

Gozzano
Their league position
Caronnese
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
11º
53
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gozzano
78
78
100%
Castellanzese
71
71
100%
PDHAE
70
70
100%
AS Bra
69
69
100%
Sanremese
65
65
100%
AC Legnano
64
64
100%
Sestri Levante
60
60
100%
Folgore Caratese
57
57
100%
Lavagnese
56
56
100%
Caronnese
10º
53
53
10º
100%
Imperia
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Casale
12º
48
48
12º
100%
Derthona
13º
47
47
13º
100%
Arconatese
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Chieri
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Città di Varese
16º
42
42
16º
100%
Saluzzo
17º
37
37
17º
100%
Fossano Calcio
18º
32
32
18º
100%
Borgosesia
19º
30
30
19º
100%
Vado FC
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gozzano
Caronnese
Champion
100% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Caronnese
CAR
Gozzano
GOZ
Lavagnese
LAV
Sestri Levante
SES
Castellanzese
CAS
Imperia
PRO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gozzano
Gozzano
1%
X%
2%
ELO GOZ ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 2020
CHI
Chieri
1 - 1
Gozzano
GOZ
47%
27%
26%
315 348 33 0
23 Dec. 2020
GOZ
Gozzano
1 - 0
Derthona
DER
51%
26%
23%
315 150 165 0
20 Dec. 2020
ACS
Saluzzo
0 - 3
Gozzano
GOZ
46%
27%
27%
315 294 -21 0
13 Dec. 2020
GOZ
Gozzano
3 - 0
Borgosesia
BOR
47%
27%
26%
315 234 81 0
01 Nov. 2020
GOZ
Gozzano
1 - 0
Castellanzese
CAS
47%
27%
26%
313 285 28 +1

Matches

Caronnese
Caronnese
1%
X%
2%
ELO CAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2020
FOL
Folgore Caratese
2 - 3
Caronnese
CAR
42%
27%
31%
364 196 -168 +1
29 Nov. 2020
CAR
Caronnese
0 - 0
Imperia
PRO
47%
27%
26%
365 290 75 0
23 Dec. 2020
SAN
Sanremese
1 - 1
Caronnese
CAR
41%
28%
31%
365 296 -69 0
18 Nov. 2020
ASD
Città di Varese
0 - 1
Caronnese
CAR
41%
28%
31%
365 291 -74 +1
20 Dec. 2020
CAR
Caronnese
1 - 1
Fossano Calcio
FOS
47%
27%
26%
365 276 89 0