Goytacaz vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1978 |
SCI
2 - 1
GOY
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
GOY
0 - 1
VIT
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
PPE
1 - 1
GOY
76%
15%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
GOY
1 - 0
FAS
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1978 |
GOY
3 - 0
BAN
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1978 |
AME
0 - 1
CRZ
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 90 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
AME
5 - 0
MIX
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
PAL
1 - 0
AME
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 2
AME
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 90 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
AME
0 - 1
PPE
26%
29%
45%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |