Gouvy vs Houffaloise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
14º
4º
26
7º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
79.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gouvy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 1
VAU
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
GOU
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GOU
1 - 2
LAR
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LON
2 - 0
GOU
42%
23%
35%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
GOU
0 - 0
MES
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Houffaloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
RES
35%
22%
43%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
RES
0 - 3
LON
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
RES
3 - 2
VAU
36%
22%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
RES
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
RES
3 - 1
CHA
52%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |