Non League Premier Southern South. Jor. 26

Gosport Borough vs Winchester City analysis

Gosport Borough Winchester City
28 ELO 32
5.5% Tilt -7.5%
5080º General ELO ranking 5500º
231º Country ELO ranking 261º
ELO win probability
36.2%
Gosport Borough
22.2%
Draw
41.6%
Winchester City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
Gosport Borough
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.6%
Win probability
Winchester City
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Gosport Borough
+20%
-13%
Winchester City

Points and table prediction

Gosport Borough
Their league position
Winchester City
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
20º
17º
46
14º
22º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Weston-super-Mare
92
92
100%
Bracknell Town FC
90
90
100%
Truro City
89
89
100%
Chesham United
80
80
100%
Poole Town
78
78
100%
Swindon Supermarine
75
75
100%
Hayes & Yeading United
69
69
100%
Metropolitan Police
62
62
100%
Merthyr Town
61
61
100%
Beaconsfield
10º
58
58
10º
100%
Plymouth Parkway
11º
58
58
11º
100%
Tiverton Town
12º
56
56
12º
100%
Dorchester Town
13º
52
52
13º
100%
Salisbury City
14º
51
51
14º
100%
Hanwell Town
15º
48
48
15º
100%
Winchester City
16º
46
46
16º
100%
Gosport Borough
17º
45
45
17º
100%
Hendon
18º
39
39
18º
100%
Harrow Borough
19º
35
35
19º
100%
Yate Town
20º
35
35
20º
100%
North Leigh
21º
34
34
21º
100%
Hartley Wintney
22º
33
33
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Gosport Borough
Winchester City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Gosport Borough
Winchester City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Gosport Borough
Gosport Borough
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2022
HAR
Hartley Wintney
3 - 1
Gosport Borough
GOS
43%
24%
33%
30 28 2 0
10 Dec. 2022
MER
Merthyr Town
2 - 3
Gosport Borough
GOS
70%
17%
13%
28 36 8 +2
03 Dec. 2022
GOS
Gosport Borough
2 - 1
Tiverton Town
TIV
23%
21%
56%
26 36 10 +2
26 Nov. 2022
YAT
Yate Town
5 - 4
Gosport Borough
GOS
54%
22%
24%
27 27 0 -1
19 Nov. 2022
GOS
Gosport Borough
2 - 3
Chesham United
CHE
16%
23%
61%
28 45 17 -1

Matches

Winchester City
Winchester City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Dec. 2022
WIN
Winchester City
0 - 1
Salisbury City
SAL
46%
22%
32%
33 33 0 0
03 Dec. 2022
HAY
Hayes & Yeading United
4 - 0
Winchester City
WIN
59%
21%
21%
34 39 5 -1
26 Nov. 2022
WIN
Winchester City
1 - 1
Dorchester Town
DOR
60%
20%
19%
34 32 2 0
22 Nov. 2022
WIN
Winchester City
2 - 2
North Leigh
NOR
71%
16%
13%
35 24 11 -1
19 Nov. 2022
WHI
Truro City
3 - 0
Winchester City
WIN
57%
22%
21%
36 43 7 -1
X