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Poland Fourth Division. Matchday 27

Górnik Konin vs Nielba Wagrowiec analysis

Górnik Konin Nielba Wagrowiec
4 ELO 5
-53% Tilt 123%
22907º General ELO ranking 13953º
377º Country ELO ranking 184º
ELO win probability
9%
Górnik Konin
16.5%
Draw
74.5%
Nielba Wagrowiec

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
Górnik Konin
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
74.5%
Win probability
Nielba Wagrowiec
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Górnik Konin
-42%
+71%
Nielba Wagrowiec

Points and table prediction

Górnik Konin
Their league position
Nielba Wagrowiec
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
19º
21º
20º
47
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Radunia Stężyca
87
87
100%
Świt Skolwin
81
81
100%
Polonia Środa
76
76
100%
Starogard Gdański
61
61
100%
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
58
58
100%
Sokół Kleczew
57
57
100%
TKP Elana Torun
56
56
100%
Unia Janikowo
54
54
100%
Jarota Jarocin
49
49
100%
Bałtyk Koszalin
10º
48
48
10º
100%
Nielba Wagrowiec
11º
47
47
11º
33%
Flota Swinoujscie
12º
47
47
12º
33%
Bałtyk Gdynia
13º
47
47
13º
33%
Pomorzanin Toruń
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Unia Swarzędz
15º
41
41
15º
100%
Przodkowo
16º
40
40
16º
50%
Gwardia Koszalin
17º
40
40
17º
50%
Pogoń Szczecin II
18º
39
39
18º
100%
Gryf Wejherowo
19º
36
36
19º
100%
Górnik Konin
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Chemik Police
21º
18
18
21º
100%
Mieszko Gniezno
22º
4
4
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Górnik Konin
Nielba Wagrowiec
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
Górnik Konin
GKP
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
KOT
Pomorzanin Toruń
KSP
Chemik Police
CHP
Unia Swarzędz
USW
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Górnik Konin
Górnik Konin
1%
X%
2%
ELO GKP ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2021
GKP
Górnik Konin
1 - 6
Jarota Jarocin
JAR
42%
27%
31%
48 185 -137 -1
24 Apr. 2021
GKP
Górnik Konin
0 - 1
Unia Janikowo
UNI
46%
27%
28%
48 74 -26 -1
17 Apr. 2021
GKP
Górnik Konin
1 - 4
Bałtyk Koszalin
KOS
41%
28%
31%
49 110 -61 -1
10 Apr. 2021
SOK
Sokół Kleczew
3 - 1
Górnik Konin
GKP
47%
27%
26%
50 141 91 -1
27 Mar. 2021
GKP
Górnik Konin
0 - 1
Gwardia Koszalin
GWA
46%
27%
27%
51 66 -15 -1

Matches

Nielba Wagrowiec
Nielba Wagrowiec
1%
X%
2%
ELO NIE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 2021
CHP
Chemik Police
2 - 6
Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
45%
27%
29%
82 1 -81 +1
24 Apr. 2021
NIE
Nielba Wagrowiec
2 - 0
Gryf Wejherowo
GRY
46%
27%
28%
81 108 -27 +1
17 Apr. 2021
NIE
Nielba Wagrowiec
1 - 0
Gwardia Koszalin
GWA
45%
27%
28%
80 68 12 +1
10 Apr. 2021
FLO
Flota Swinoujscie
3 - 3
Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
47%
27%
26%
80 229 149 0
27 Mar. 2021
UNI
Unia Janikowo
2 - 1
Nielba Wagrowiec
NIE
46%
27%
27%
81 73 -8 -1