Goole vs Gresley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
41.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 0
GOO
45%
22%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
KID
1 - 1
GOO
63%
20%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GOO
0 - 2
BIS
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
GOO
2 - 1
BRI
37%
24%
38%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
GOO
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gresley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 2
EAS
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 1
GRE
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
LOU
44%
24%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
KET
0 - 2
GRE
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 2
BED
49%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |