Gondomar vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+90%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 3
GON
77%
16%
7%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
GON
2 - 0
COI
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
GON
2 - 0
PED
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ESP
2 - 1
GON
66%
21%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 0
GON
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
PAR
20%
25%
55%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
TRO
3 - 0
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
AMA
16%
21%
63%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 5
MAR
18%
20%
62%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
COI
0 - 0
VIL
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |