Gondomar vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
VIZ
0 - 1
GON
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
GON
1 - 1
OLH
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
VIZ
1 - 0
GON
38%
26%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
GON
0 - 0
LEX
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
GON
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
VAR
2 - 1
VIT
36%
30%
35%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
RIO
0 - 0
VAR
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
FEI
1 - 0
VAR
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
VAR
1 - 0
SAN
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
OVA
2 - 4
VAR
27%
26%
48%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |