Gondomar vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gondomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GON
2 - 0
MOI
64%
19%
16%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
EST
0 - 2
GON
42%
27%
31%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
GON
2 - 2
ANA
35%
27%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
RDA
3 - 0
GON
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GON
2 - 0
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
RDA
3 - 0
CES
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CES
1 - 0
MOI
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
MOR
4 - 3
CES
37%
27%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CES
1 - 4
EST
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GOU
2 - 4
CES
21%
21%
58%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |