Golden Arrows vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 1
GOL
51%
28%
22%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
GOL
1 - 3
TSG
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
GOL
1 - 1
AMA
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GOL
1 - 0
MPU
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
BLO
1 - 2
GOL
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
FRE
2 - 2
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 1
FRE
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
PIR
2 - 1
FRE
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FRE
4 - 1
AMA
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
SSU
1 - 0
FRE
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |