Goldau vs FC Sursee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goldau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 2
FCS
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
IBA
1 - 0
GOL
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
GOL
5 - 0
HER
50%
22%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ESC
1 - 3
GOL
39%
23%
38%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
GOL
3 - 1
LSS
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Sursee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
GOL
1 - 2
FCS
53%
23%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
FCA
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FCS
5 - 2
IBA
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2012 |
LSS
1 - 2
FCS
27%
25%
48%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
HER
0 - 1
FCS
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |