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Switzerland Fourth Division. Matchday 16

Goldau Baden
4 ELO 18
-14% Tilt 63%
9445º General ELO ranking 5281º
103º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
22%
Goldau
22.7%
Draw
55.3%
Baden

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
Goldau
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
55.3%
Win probability
Baden
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Goldau
-8%
+64%
Baden

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Biel-Bienne
25
50
15%
Baden
22
48
17%
Solothurn
17
49
15%
Langenthal
16
43
11%
Wohlen
16
39
7%
Luzern II
15
39
8%
Bassecourt
13
36
8%
Zug 94
13
31
10º
8%
Delemont
12
39
7%
Grasshoppers II
10º
9
33
8%
Schotz
11º
8
29
11º
9%
Buochs
12º
8
24
13º
11%
Muttenz
13º
8
27
12º
11%
Goldau
14º
3
18
14º
25%
Expected probabilities
Goldau
Baden
Champion
1% 14%
Promotion playoffs
1% 17%
Mid-table
60% 65%
Relegation
38% 3%

ELO progression

Baden
BAD
Goldau
GOL
Bassecourt
BAS
Wohlen
WOH
Luzern II
LUZ
Grasshoppers II
GRA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Goldau
Goldau
1%
X%
2%
ELO GOL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
GOL
Goldau
2 - 3
Muttenz
MUT
46%
27%
28%
74 119 -45 -1
18 Oct. 2020
DEL
Delemont
4 - 0
Goldau
GOL
51%
25%
23%
75 243 168 -1
03 Oct. 2020
GOL
Goldau
0 - 2
Langenthal
LAN
46%
27%
28%
77 99 -22 0
26 Sep. 2020
ZUG
Zug 94
3 - 1
Goldau
GOL
47%
27%
26%
78 150 72 -1

Matches

Baden
Baden
1%
X%
2%
ELO BAD ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
BAD
Baden
3 - 1
Langenthal
LAN
47%
27%
26%
248 100 148 +1
17 Oct. 2020
ZUG
Zug 94
0 - 2
Baden
BAD
44%
27%
29%
247 150 -97 +1
07 Oct. 2020
BAD
Baden
3 - 0
Solothurn
SOL
47%
27%
26%
245 178 67 +1
03 Oct. 2020
BAD
Baden
0 - 2
Biel-Bienne
BIE
47%
27%
26%
246 189 57 -1
26 Sep. 2020
GRA
Grasshoppers II
4 - 2
Baden
BAD
44%
27%
29%
248 159 -89 -1