Gold Coast Knights vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2025 |
GCK
1 - 0
MOR
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SUN
2 - 0
GCK
13%
21%
66%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
BRI
0 - 1
GCK
13%
21%
67%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
WYN
0 - 2
GCK
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
GCK
3 - 1
QUE
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
GEO
0 - 3
BRR
59%
19%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
GEO
0 - 3
QUE
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
BRI
2 - 1
GEO
33%
21%
47%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
WYN
2 - 2
GEO
26%
20%
55%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
GOL
2 - 0
GEO
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |