Goianésia vs Desportiva Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
URT
4 - 0
GOI
67%
20%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 3
URT
31%
27%
42%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -3 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
DES
4 - 1
GOI
61%
22%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
GOI
0 - 4
VOL
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ABC
3 - 2
GOI
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
DES
1 - 2
VOL
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 0
DES
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
DES
4 - 1
GOI
61%
22%
16%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
URT
2 - 1
DES
44%
27%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
ESP
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |