Goa II vs ARA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Goa II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2019 |
GOA
4 - 0
LKA
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
HIN
0 - 3
GOA
39%
23%
39%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 0
GOA
74%
15%
12%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
GOA
6 - 0
HIN
42%
22%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
GOA
1 - 4
BEN
24%
21%
55%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -3 |
Matches
ARA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
ARA
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 0
GOA
74%
15%
12%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
HIN
0 - 2
ARA
25%
21%
54%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 3
LKA
77%
14%
9%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 4
BEN
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -2 |