Go Ahead Eagles vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
APE
4 - 0
GAE
37%
24%
39%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
GAE
1 - 2
TEL
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
BVV
1 - 1
GAE
37%
23%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
GAE
0 - 1
WIL
45%
24%
32%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
SPA
2 - 2
GAE
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
0 - 3
HER
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 1
FCD
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
APE
2 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
TEL
5 - 2
FOR
58%
24%
19%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 4
BVV
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |