Go Ahead Eagles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
58.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
7º
16º
7º
78
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 2
GAE
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PSV
3 - 0
GAE
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GAE
2 - 0
RKC
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WIL
2 - 0
GAE
51%
23%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GAE
0 - 2
FOR
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
AJA
5 - 0
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
3 - 0
JAG
71%
17%
12%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 4
AJA
19%
20%
61%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
AJA
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 1
PAN
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |