Go Ahead Eagles vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
GAE
0 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
GRO
2 - 0
GAE
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
GAE
1 - 0
ADO
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
GAE
49%
24%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
PSV
5 - 0
GAE
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 1
AZA
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 0
AJA
28%
24%
49%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 0
FEY
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 0
GRO
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
AJA
0 - 2
S04
35%
24%
41%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |