Glentoran vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
7º
4º
39
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 0
GLE
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 0
BAL
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
3 - 0
GLE
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
GLE
8 - 2
NEW
81%
14%
5%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
GLE
2 - 2
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 3
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 1
CRU
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
2 - 0
LOU
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CLI
4 - 0
LOU
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |