Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
6º
4º
23
11º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 2
GLE
28%
24%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
4 - 0
LAR
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
16%
24%
60%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 3
GLE
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
5 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
COL
3 - 0
DUN
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 2
CRU
10%
19%
72%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
BAL
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 0
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GLE
5 - 0
DUN
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |