Glentoran vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
GLE
1 - 2
GLE
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
GLE
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
GLE
4 - 1
ARC
73%
17%
10%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CLI
1 - 1
GLE
60%
22%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WAR
1 - 1
DUN
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
DUN
0 - 3
LIN
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 0
DUN
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
CRU
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
INS
1 - 2
DUN
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |