Glenavon vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
MOY
2 - 3
GLE
16%
19%
65%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 1
DUN
76%
15%
9%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 4
GLE
42%
24%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
POR
3 - 3
GLE
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 0
GLE
23%
24%
54%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
INS
5 - 1
LOU
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
INS
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2015 |
GLE
4 - 1
INS
70%
19%
11%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2014 |
INS
1 - 1
WAR
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
35%
26%
40%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |