NIFL Premiership Normal Season Round 27

Glenavon vs Institute analysis

Glenavon Institute
64 ELO 53
35.1% Tilt 27%
1728º General ELO ranking 2856º
11º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
76.5%
Glenavon
14.4%
Draw
9.1%
Institute

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
Glenavon
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.1%
Win probability
Institute
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Glenavon
+13%
-9%
Institute

ELO progression

Glenavon
Institute
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2015
MOY
Moyola Park
2 - 3
Glenavon
GLE
16%
19%
65%
63 45 18 0
06 Jan. 2015
GLE
Glenavon
2 - 1
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
76%
15%
9%
62 54 8 +1
03 Jan. 2015
BAL
Ballymena United
2 - 4
Glenavon
GLE
42%
24%
35%
61 59 2 +1
26 Dec. 2014
POR
Portadown
3 - 3
Glenavon
GLE
57%
22%
21%
61 68 7 0
20 Dec. 2014
BAL
Ballinamallard United
1 - 0
Glenavon
GLE
23%
24%
54%
62 53 9 -1

Matches

Institute
Institute
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2015
INS
Institute
5 - 1
Loughgall
LOU
64%
21%
15%
52 41 11 0
05 Jan. 2015
POR
Portadown
2 - 1
Institute
INS
75%
16%
9%
53 68 15 -1
01 Jan. 2015
GLE
Glentoran
4 - 1
Institute
INS
70%
19%
11%
53 68 15 0
26 Dec. 2014
INS
Institute
1 - 1
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
57%
23%
20%
53 49 4 0
20 Dec. 2014
INS
Institute
1 - 2
Ballymena United
BAL
35%
26%
40%
54 58 4 -1