Glenavon vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
LAR
1 - 0
GLE
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2004 |
GLE
2 - 2
DUN
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
POR
2 - 0
GLE
74%
16%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
GLE
4 - 0
GLE
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIM
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2004 |
INS
0 - 1
ARD
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2003 |
INS
0 - 4
LIM
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
BAL
2 - 1
INS
42%
24%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2003 |
INS
4 - 1
LAR
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
INS
1 - 3
CRU
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |