Glenavon vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
GLE
0 - 1
GLE
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2003 |
COL
4 - 1
GLE
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
ARD
1 - 1
GLE
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
GLE
0 - 5
POR
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
CLI
3 - 1
GLE
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2003 |
INS
2 - 0
LIN
28%
24%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2003 |
INS
3 - 1
OMA
35%
25%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2002 |
GLE
6 - 1
INS
72%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2002 |
COL
3 - 0
INS
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2002 |
INS
2 - 0
ARD
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |