Glenavon vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
OMA
3 - 1
GLE
54%
24%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
COL
3 - 2
GLE
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2002 |
ARD
1 - 2
GLE
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
GLE
2 - 0
LIN
33%
27%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
OMA
2 - 0
GLE
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
INS
1 - 0
LIN
31%
26%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2002 |
INS
0 - 0
OMA
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
GLE
4 - 1
INS
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 3
INS
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
INS
3 - 1
BAN
74%
17%
10%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |