Glenavon vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 6
GLE
15%
20%
65%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
GLE
4 - 0
WAR
74%
17%
10%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
GLE
4 - 1
POR
65%
20%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BAL
3 - 1
GLE
44%
24%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 2
DUN
82%
13%
6%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2021 |
POR
4 - 2
DUN
73%
17%
11%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 3
BAL
16%
23%
61%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
LIN
5 - 2
DUN
87%
10%
3%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 1
WAR
33%
24%
43%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
CAR
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -2 |