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NIFL Premiership. Ronda de Descenso, Matchday 5

Glenavon Dungannon Swifts
38 ELO 26
53% Tilt -34%
2140º General ELO ranking 3753º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
77.4%
Glenavon
15.1%
Draw
7.6%
Dungannon Swifts

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
Glenavon
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.6%
Win probability
Dungannon Swifts
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Points and table prediction

Glenavon
Their league position
Dungannon Swifts
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ballymena United
15
15
100%
Glenavon
10
10
100%
Warrenpoint Town
9
9
100%
Portadown
6
6
100%
Carrick Rangers
3
3
100%
Dungannon Swifts
1
1
100%
Expected probabilities
Glenavon
Dungannon Swifts
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Dungannon Swifts
DUN
Glenavon
GLE
Larne
LAR
Cliftonville
CLI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Glenavon
Glenavon
1%
X%
2%
ELO GLE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2021
CAR
Carrick Rangers
3 - 6
Glenavon
GLE
40%
28%
32%
556 347 -209 +4
14 May. 2021
GLE
Glenavon
4 - 0
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
53%
26%
22%
552 254 298 +4
04 May. 2021
GLE
Glenavon
4 - 1
Portadown
POR
53%
25%
22%
548 363 185 +4
01 May. 2021
BAL
Ballymena United
3 - 1
Glenavon
GLE
41%
28%
31%
552 461 -91 -4
24 Apr. 2021
GLE
Glenavon
3 - 2
Linfield
LIN
39%
28%
33%
611 832 -221 +3

Matches

Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts
1%
X%
2%
ELO DUN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2021
POR
Portadown
4 - 2
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
47%
27%
26%
307 362 55 -4
15 May. 2021
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
1 - 3
Ballymena United
BAL
42%
27%
31%
310 477 -167 -3
08 May. 2021
LIN
Linfield
5 - 2
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
58%
24%
19%
313 751 438 -3
04 May. 2021
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
0 - 1
Warrenpoint Town
WAR
47%
27%
26%
315 253 62 -3
30 Apr. 2021
DUN
Dungannon Swifts
0 - 2
Carrick Rangers
CAR
46%
27%
27%
319 351 -32 -4