Girona vs Gimnàstic Tarragona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
40.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
CAS
1 - 2
GIR
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ELC
2 - 1
GIR
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GIR
0 - 2
XER
27%
28%
45%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SEV
2 - 1
GIR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GIR
0 - 1
ALA
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 1
XER
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SEV
1 - 3
GIM
26%
27%
47%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GIM
1 - 1
ALA
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
HER
2 - 2
GIM
59%
22%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
GIM
3 - 0
MUR
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |