Copa del Rey . 1/128
Global 0-1
Girona vs Calella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
GIR
1 - 3
TER
45%
29%
26%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
MNC
2 - 0
GIR
27%
33%
40%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
GIR
2 - 0
ATB
66%
22%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1972 |
TUD
1 - 0
GIR
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
GIR
0 - 0
EUR
61%
24%
16%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1972 |
VIN
0 - 2
CAL
41%
29%
30%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
CAL
2 - 1
LEV
50%
27%
23%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
LLE
1 - 0
CAL
54%
27%
18%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAL
73%
18%
10%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1972 |
CDM
1 - 2
CAL
24%
26%
50%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |