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J2 League. Temporada Regular, Matchday 40

Giravanz Kitakyushu Júbilo Iwata
43 ELO 38
-5% Tilt -9%
1993º General ELO ranking 2618º
20º Country ELO ranking 34º
ELO win probability
53.3%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
25.8%
Draw
20.8%
Júbilo Iwata

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
20.8%
Win probability
Júbilo Iwata
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Giravanz Kitakyushu
+10%
+17%
Júbilo Iwata

Basic stats

2
0
GF
0
2
GC
43
38
ELO
1.5
0.9
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Giravanz Kitakyushu
Their league position
Júbilo Iwata
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
22º
63
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tokushima Vortis
84
84
50%
Avispa Fukuoka
84
84
50%
V-Varen Nagasaki
80
80
100%
Ventforet Kofu
65
65
50%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
65
65
50%
Júbilo Iwata
63
63
100%
Montedio Yamagata
62
62
100%
Kyoto Sanga
59
59
100%
Mito Hollyhock
58
58
50%
Tochigi
10º
58
58
10º
50%
Albirex Niigata
11º
57
57
11º
100%
Tokyo Verdy
12º
54
54
12º
50%
Matsumoto Yamaga
13º
54
54
13º
50%
JEF United
14º
53
53
14º
50%
Omiya Ardija
15º
53
53
15º
50%
Ryūkyū
16º
50
50
16º
50%
Fagiano Okayama
17º
50
50
17º
50%
Zweigen Kanazawa
18º
49
49
18º
33%
Machida Zelvia
19º
49
49
19º
33%
ThespaKusatsu Gunma
20º
49
49
20º
33%
Ehime
21º
34
34
21º
100%
Renofa Yamaguchi
22º
33
33
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Júbilo Iwata
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Júbilo Iwata
JUB
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
Machida Zelvia
MAC
Montedio Yamagata
MON
Tochigi
TOC
JEF United
JEF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Giravanz Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1%
X%
2%
ELO GIR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2020
REN
Renofa Yamaguchi
4 - 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
40%
28%
32%
713 449 -264 -6
02 Dec. 2020
TOK
Tokushima Vortis
4 - 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
49%
26%
25%
718 810 92 -5
28 Nov. 2020
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 - 1
Fagiano Okayama
FAG
46%
27%
28%
718 787 -69 0
25 Nov. 2020
MIT
Mito Hollyhock
2 - 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
47%
27%
26%
718 759 41 0
21 Nov. 2020
RYK
Ryūkyū
1 - 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
37%
28%
36%
718 319 -399 -1

Matches

Júbilo Iwata
Júbilo Iwata
1%
X%
2%
ELO JUB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 2020
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
2 - 0
Omiya Ardija
OMI
41%
28%
31%
539 645 -106 +5
02 Dec. 2020
MIT
Mito Hollyhock
2 - 1
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
52%
25%
22%
541 756 215 -3
29 Nov. 2020
JEF
JEF United
1 - 2
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
52%
25%
22%
537 771 234 +4
25 Nov. 2020
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
3 - 0
Ryūkyū
RYK
51%
26%
23%
533 320 213 +4
21 Nov. 2020
VEN
Ventforet Kofu
1 - 1
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
47%
27%
26%
533 601 68 0