Gimnàstic Tarragona vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnàstic Tarragona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 1
GIM
38%
30%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 0
FCB
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
OSA
3 - 0
GIM
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
GIM
0 - 1
SAB
52%
25%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
RUN
2 - 3
GIM
33%
30%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALA
16%
25%
59%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
IBI
1 - 1
MAL
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
MAL
1 - 1
GRA
12%
23%
65%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LEV
1 - 0
MAL
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
MAL
1 - 0
PON
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |