Gimnasia Mendoza vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gimnasia Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GBR
0 - 1
GIM
24%
30%
47%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GIM
2 - 1
CHA
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 2
GIM
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GIM
0 - 1
DEF
51%
27%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SMA
0 - 0
GIM
51%
28%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
RAF
2 - 1
STM
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CFE
1 - 0
RAF
53%
26%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
RFC
0 - 1
RAF
5%
13%
82%
|
57 | 12 | 45 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
RAF
3 - 0
SMA
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
ATL
0 - 0
RAF
45%
28%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |