Gillingham vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
GIL
1 - 1
CUM
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
GIL
0 - 0
OLD
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
BPO
1 - 1
GIL
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
WAL
0 - 1
GIL
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
GIL
1 - 1
BCF
54%
23%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 1
OXF
34%
28%
39%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2017 |
OXF
2 - 4
BBU
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
PLY
0 - 4
OXF
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
OXF
1 - 2
NOR
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2017 |
OXF
3 - 4
MKD
58%
22%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |