Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
GIL
0 - 2
DOV
34%
25%
41%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
GIL
0 - 2
WYC
31%
28%
41%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
GIL
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
GIL
1 - 1
GUL
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
POR
0 - 0
GIL
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
CUM
3 - 1
CRE
57%
21%
22%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
TAM
2 - 1
CRE
23%
22%
56%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
CRE
1 - 2
STF
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
CRE
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CRE
3 - 1
ALD
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |