Prev. Taça da Liga . Final
Global 4-3
Gil Vicente vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
GFC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GFC
5 - 0
CAL
89%
8%
2%
|
72 | 37 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GFC
2 - 1
PAÇ
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
VST
2 - 2
GFC
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 0
GFC
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FEI
0 - 4
MOR
36%
28%
37%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 0
BMA
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 2
EST
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
SCP
3 - 2
MOR
40%
28%
33%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
ATL
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |