Gil Vicente vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
15º
10º
31
1º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 70 |
3º
|
56.5% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
4º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 61 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 40 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
43% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 31 |
15º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
82.5% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 26 |
17º
|
97.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
ARO
3 - 0
GFC
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 1
MOR
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
SCP
3 - 1
GFC
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SER
0 - 1
GFC
5%
11%
84%
|
71 | 37 | 34 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GFC
1 - 1
RIO
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BOA
1 - 1
VIT
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ESA
3 - 1
BOA
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BOA
0 - 4
ARO
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ARO
2 - 2
BOA
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
MLL
4 - 1
BOA
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |