Giana Erminio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
JS2
3 - 2
GER
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
GER
1 - 1
LEC
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
PIS
1 - 1
GER
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
GER
2 - 0
PER
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 0
GER
58%
23%
20%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 4
NOV
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
LEO
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
COM
1 - 0
NOV
49%
26%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 1
OLB
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PIS
2 - 0
NOV
28%
25%
46%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |