Rumilly Vallières vs FC Gueugnon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
12º
1º
34
2º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rumilly Vallières
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PON
1 - 0
RVA
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FEU
1 - 3
RVA
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
RVA
1 - 1
DOM
80%
13%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CLE
0 - 1
RVA
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
RVA
2 - 0
AIN
56%
24%
21%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Gueugnon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCG
2 - 1
DIJ
33%
25%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
FCG
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 4
MAC
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
FCG
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
FCG
5 - 1
APO
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |