SD Gernika vs SD Zamudio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
POR
3 - 2
GER
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
GER
1 - 2
EIB
50%
28%
21%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
CLU
1 - 0
GER
19%
27%
53%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
GER
1 - 2
SDI
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
SDA
0 - 2
GER
28%
30%
42%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
SD Zamudio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ZAM
4 - 3
LEM
27%
27%
46%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
LON
1 - 0
ZAM
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 2
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ZAL
1 - 1
ZAM
40%
29%
32%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ARE
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |