SD Gernika vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
RCF
0 - 0
GER
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
GER
1 - 0
RCF
41%
29%
30%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
CAU
1 - 0
GER
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
ATH
2 - 2
GER
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
GER
1 - 0
SSC
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
LUG
1 - 0
PON
47%
30%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1975 |
CFP
0 - 2
LUG
63%
23%
14%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
LUG
0 - 1
UPL
62%
25%
14%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
PON
2 - 1
LUG
60%
25%
15%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1975 |
LUG
2 - 0
UNI
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |