SD Gernika vs CD Elgoibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ZAM
1 - 1
GER
34%
28%
39%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
GER
4 - 0
BEA
34%
27%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
POR
2 - 0
GER
63%
22%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GER
1 - 1
LON
63%
23%
15%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
LAU
1 - 0
GER
50%
26%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Elgoibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ELG
1 - 0
SFC
44%
26%
30%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SES
4 - 1
ELG
66%
22%
12%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
ELG
2 - 2
SNT
52%
27%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
AMU
1 - 2
ELG
54%
26%
20%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ELG
0 - 1
LEI
42%
26%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |