SD Gernika vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
SDA
0 - 1
GER
40%
28%
32%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
GER
2 - 0
ZAL
27%
27%
46%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
SNT
3 - 1
GER
33%
30%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
GER
0 - 0
ARE
61%
24%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CDV
0 - 2
GER
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
CDU
2 - 2
ZAM
38%
28%
34%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
LON
3 - 0
CDU
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
CDU
1 - 0
ZAR
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
LAU
2 - 2
CDU
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
SDA
2 - 2
CDU
60%
24%
16%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |