SD Gernika vs CD Basconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
LAU
2 - 0
GER
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GER
1 - 0
ALA
58%
23%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
LON
1 - 1
GER
43%
27%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GER
3 - 1
SFC
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
CDU
0 - 1
GER
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
CD Basconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 1
BFC
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
BEA
1 - 0
BAS
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 0
ELG
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 4
POR
42%
25%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LAU
5 - 0
BAS
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |