Germinal de Rawson vs Belgrano Esquel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+223%
+93%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
GER
2 - 0
LAA
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CDS
3 - 0
GER
51%
22%
27%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
GER
2 - 1
25D
72%
17%
12%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
IND
3 - 0
GER
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SDM
2 - 0
GER
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Belgrano Esquel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
25D
0 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
12%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 3
SDM
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GER
2 - 0
BEL
79%
13%
7%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 2
IND
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
AMA
2 - 0
BEL
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |