Germania vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
45.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+61%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
50% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Mid-table | 100% | 100% |
ELO progression
MSC
GER
ALC
JUL
RKH
ROH
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Germania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO GER | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
BEQ
2 - 1
GER
53%
25%
22%
|
189 | 384 | 195 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RKH
3 - 0
GER
47%
27%
26%
|
191 | 294 | 103 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GER
0 - 2
SCN
46%
27%
27%
|
193 | 203 | -10 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 2
GER
49%
26%
25%
|
193 | 320 | 127 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
GER
3 - 3
SWZ
45%
27%
28%
|
193 | 291 | -98 | 0 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO MSC | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MSC
3 - 2
FVC
51%
26%
24%
|
369 | 158 | 211 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MSC
3 - 1
ARH
53%
25%
22%
|
368 | 174 | 194 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
BEQ
0 - 1
MSC
47%
27%
26%
|
366 | 387 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MSC
0 - 1
SWZ
47%
27%
26%
|
368 | 289 | 79 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
RKH
3 - 2
MSC
42%
28%
31%
|
369 | 295 | -74 | -1 |